Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 15
Jul 12, 2026 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT City Stadium
  • Yuri Lovets 26' yellowcard
  • Valeri Gorbachik 30' yellowcard
  • goal E. Novykh 63'
  • goal Roman Minaev 76'
  • goal S. Tikhonovskiy 78'
  • yellowcard S. Tikhonovskiy 83'

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Vitebsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
Neman 0 - 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Vitebsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 2.00pm
Vitebsk 1 - 0 Dnepr Mogilev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.25% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.46%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 27.09% (-0.36)
Draw 28.25% (+0.04)
Vitebsk 44.66% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.59% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 32.41% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 40.86% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 59.14% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 20.69% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 79.31% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 10.64% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 89.36% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 25.87% (-0.06)
Draw 44.39%
Vitebsk 29.74% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 41.56% (-0.22)
No Goal 9.95% (+0.11)
Vitebsk 48.49% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 13.24% (+0.09)
Equal 8 5.67% (+0.05)
Under 8 81.09% (-0.15)
Over 9 9.46% (+0.05)
Equal 9 3.77% (+0.05)
Under 9 86.76% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 6.98% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 93.02% (-0.03)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 1.5 24.62% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 75.38% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 7.13% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 92.87% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 1.89% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.11% (+0.08)

Vitebsk Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.73% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.74% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 62.26% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 15.19% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 27.1%
Draw 28.25%
Vitebsk 44.66%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 9.49% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.88% (-0.09)
Total : 27.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 9.95% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.25%
Vitebsk
0-1 @ 12.98% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.37% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.8% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.8% (+0.04)
Total : 44.66%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 13, 2026 11.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 24
Oct 2, 2025 11.00pm
Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT City Stadium
  • Yriy Lovets 47' goal
  • Yaroslav Oreshkevich 48' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandr Ksenofontov 64'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Makushinski 73'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 18
Aug 16, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski
  • yellowcard Atila Guilherme Sales Freira 81'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadyen RTsOP-BGU
  • Evgeni Sakuta 10' goal
  • Egor Pogostnov 65' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Poznyak 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ruslan Teverov 41'
  • yellowcard Karen Vardanyan 66'