Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.69% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%) , while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.