Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Neman
  • Sherif Jimoh 31' yellowcard
  • Sergey Pushnyakov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Valeri Gorbachik 28'
  • yellowcard Yuri Lovets 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ilya Vasin 82'
  • yellowcard Andrei Zaleski 90'+2'
  • redcard Ilya Vasin 90'+4'

Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Neman

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jun 28, 2026 4.00pm
Dnepr Mogilev 2 - 0 Neman

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 6.00pm
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1 - 1 Gomel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Neman 58.53% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 23.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18.01% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.79% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 70% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 55.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.81% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 76.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 13.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.14% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Neman 38.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 45.59% ▲ (+0.10)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 15.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Neman 62.12% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 8.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 29.35% ▲ (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 27.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 9.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 62.72% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 20.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 7.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 72.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 14.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 85.57% ▲ (+0.05)

Neman Goals

Over 1.5 48.84% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 51.16% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 23.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 76.96% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 8.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 91.2% ▲ (+0.08)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5 50.1% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 49.9% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 17.62% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 82.38% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 4.76% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 95.24% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 1.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Neman 58.52%
Draw 23.42%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18.01%
Neman
1-0 @ 14.8% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 11.41% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 58.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.42%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 18.01%

Head to Head

Belarusian Premier League
Oct 10, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League
Aug 29, 2025 4.00pm
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 5
Apr 19, 2025 1.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT City Stadium
  • Kiriil Kirilenko 35' yellowcard
  • Valery Senko 58' yellowcard
  • Vadim Harutyunyan 70' redcard
  • goal Leonard Chatelin Gweth 8'
  • goal Sergey Pushnyakov 19'
  • goal Yegor Zubovich 84'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 24
Oct 6, 2024 1.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT City Stadium
  • goal Leonard Chatelin Gweth 13'
  • goal Gulzhigit Alykulov 17'
  • goal Pavel Savitskiy 29'
  • yellowcard Yegor Parkhomenko 66'
  • goal Yuriy Pantya 90'+4'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 9
May 16, 2024 6.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Neman
  • Andrey Yakimov 71' goal
  • yellowcard Arseni Ageev 62'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 23
Oct 2, 2022 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dimitry Osipenko 65' goal
  • goal Andrey Yakimov 81'