Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Baranovichi had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Baranovichi win was 1-0 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.