Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.91% and a win for Baranovichi had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Baranovichi win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.