Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.67% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.