Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.16% and a win for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%) , while for a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.