Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotor Volgograd win with a probability of 44.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.09% and a win for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%) , while for a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.