Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.12% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.