Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Baranovichi had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Baranovichi win was 0-1 (11.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.