Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.48% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%) , while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.