Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baranovichi win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baranovichi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.