Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baranovichi win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.09% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baranovichi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%) , while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.