Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.81% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (7.83%).