Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2026 4.00pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 1.30pm
Wolfsberger 1 - 1 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Oumar Diakité

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 1.30pm
Salzburg 5 - 1 Austria Lustenau
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Haris Tabakovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 30.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 1-0 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Sturm Graz 30.26% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 24.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Red Bull Salzburg 44.76% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.41% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 55.86% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 44.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 34.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 65.59% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 20.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 79.47% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 24.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 38.11% ▲ (+0.18)
Red Bull Salzburg 37.65% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 40.08% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 5.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Red Bull Salzburg 53.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.7% ▼ (-0.63)
Equal 8 10.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 22.8% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 9 55.19% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 9 11.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 9 33.3% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 10.5 43.65% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 10.5 56.35% ▲ (+0.31)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 34.89% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 65.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 13.84% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 86.16% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 4.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.17% ▼ (-0.10)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 76.23% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 23.77% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 46.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 53.78% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 21.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 78.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 8.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 91.55% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 30.26%
Draw 24.92%
Red Bull Salzburg 44.76%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 30.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.92%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 44.76%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2026 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Nikolas Veratschnig  71' goal
  • Nikolas Veratschnig  72' goal
  • Kévin Boma 76' goal
  • Kévin Boma 77' goal
  • Aboubacar Camara 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jürgen Heil 72'
  • redcard Jürgen Heil 76'
  • yellowcard Paul Koller 79'
Austrian Bundesliga
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Yorbe Vertessen 22' goal
  • Edmund Baidoo 74' yellowcard
  • Karim Konaté 80' yellowcard
  • Moussa Yeo 80' yellowcard
  • Aleksa Terzic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Koller 59'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 73'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 73'
  • yellowcard Niklas Geyrhofer 73'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 88'
  • goal Axel Kayombo 90'+3'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mar 20, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emanuel Aiwu 39' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 45'+5' goal
  • Maurice Malone 70' yellowcard
  • Filip Rózga 70' yellowcard
  • Axel Kayombo 87' yellowcard
  • Luca Weinhandl 87' yellowcard
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 32'
  • yellowcard Sota Kitano 75'
  • yellowcard Damir Redzic 75'
  • yellowcard Moussa Yeo 83'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 85'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 8
May 9, 2025 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Aleksa Terzic 18' goal
  • William Boving 20' goal
  • Gregory Wuthrich 48' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 72' goal
  • goal Nene Dorgeles 45'
  • goal Emanuel Aiwu 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kouakou Joane Gadou 68'