Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2026 1.30pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs SV Ried - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 4.00pm
Sturm Graz 6 - 1 Grazer
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Oumar Diakité

SV Ried

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 6.30pm
SV Ried 3 - 2 Austria Vienna
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Stefan Schwab

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for SV Ried has a probability of 31.32% and a draw has a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest SV Ried win is 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result

Sturm Graz 43.22% ▼ (-1.97)
Draw 25.46% ▲ (+0.29)
SV Ried 31.32% ▲ (+1.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.58% ▼ (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.92% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 24.08% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 2.5 52.39% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 2.5 47.61% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 3.5 30.14% ▼ (-2.59)
Under 3.5 69.86% ▲ (+2.60)
Over 4.5 17.19% ▼ (-2.19)
Under 4.5 82.81% ▲ (+2.19)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 29.5% ▼ (-2.57)
Draw 40.93% ▲ (+0.80)
SV Ried 29.57% ▲ (+1.77)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 45.1% ▼ (-2.48)
No Goal 6.66% ▲ (+0.25)
SV Ried 48.24% ▲ (+2.25)

Corners

Over 8 61.93% ▼ (-3.28)
Equal 8 10.39% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 8 27.68% ▲ (+2.88)
Over 9 51.01% ▼ (-3.43)
Equal 9 10.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 9 38.07% ▲ (+3.29)
Over 10.5 40.4% ▼ (-3.31)
Under 10.5 59.6% ▲ (+3.31)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 42.81% ▼ (-2.60)
Under 1.5 57.19% ▲ (+2.60)
Over 2.5 18.5% ▼ (-2.33)
Under 2.5 81.5% ▲ (+2.33)
Over 3.5 6.63% ▼ (-1.57)
Under 3.5 93.37% ▲ (+1.58)

SV Ried Goals

Over 0.5 65.55% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 0.5 34.45% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 1.5 33.6% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 66.4% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 13.61% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 86.39% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 4.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.47% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 43.21%
Draw 25.46%
SV Ried 31.34%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 6.41% ▼ (-1.51)
Total : 43.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.46)
0-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 25.46%
SV Ried
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.42)
1-2 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.56)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.43)
Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Belmin Beganovic 63' yellowcard
  • Jacob Peter Hödl 76' yellowcard
  • Gizo Mamageishvili 77' yellowcard
  • Jacob Peter Hödl 86' goal
  • Seedy Jatta 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Eghosa 59'
  • yellowcard Peter Kiedl 59'
  • yellowcard Philipp Pomer 80'
  • yellowcard Joris Boguo 80'
  • yellowcard Martin Rasner 88'
Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 16, 2025 6.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT