Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Stadion Z'dežele

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 56.1%. A win for Celje has a probability of 22.76% and a draw has a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest Celje win is 2-1 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.5%).

Result

Celje 22.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 21.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Red Bull Salzburg 56.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.06% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.19% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 20.81% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 57.57% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 2.5 42.43% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 34.45% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 65.55% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 4.5 21.33% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 4.5 78.67% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Celje 20.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 32.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Red Bull Salzburg 46.6%

Team To Score First

Celje 34.08% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 5.29% ▼ (-0.17)
Red Bull Salzburg 60.63% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 45.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 34.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 65.3% ▲ (+0.07)

Celje Goals

Over 1.5 27.2% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 72.8% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 9.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 90.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 2.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 82.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 17.95% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 54.38% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 45.62% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 28.47% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 71.53% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 11.96% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 88.04% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Celje 22.76%
Draw 21.13%
Red Bull Salzburg 56.1%
Celje
2-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 22.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.13%
Red Bull Salzburg
0-1 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 11.81% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 56.1%