Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
Lotto Park

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Anderlecht has a probability of 31.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Anderlecht win is 2-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result

Anderlecht 31.67%
Draw 24.19% ▲ (+0.52)
Red Bull Salzburg 44.14% ▼ (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.93% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.24% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 43.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 34.29% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 65.71% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 4.5 20.85% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 79.15% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Anderlecht 25.75% ▼ (-1.27)
Draw 38.49% ▲ (+0.82)
Red Bull Salzburg 35.77% ▲ (+0.48)

Team To Score First

Anderlecht 42.24% ▼ (-1.34)
No Goal 5.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Red Bull Salzburg 52.21% ▲ (+1.28)

Corners

Over 8 50.9% ▲ (+1.69)
Equal 8 11.65% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 8 37.45% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 9 39.65% ▲ (+1.40)
Equal 9 11.25% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 9 49.1% ▼ (-1.69)
Over 10.5 29.63% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 10.5 70.37% ▼ (-1.04)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 1.5 35.88% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 64.12% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 2.5 14.28% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 85.72% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 4.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.11% ▼ (-0.11)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 75.66% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 24.34% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 45.61% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 54.39% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 21.55% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 78.45% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 8.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 91.49% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Anderlecht 31.68%
Draw 24.19%
Red Bull Salzburg 44.13%
Anderlecht
2-1 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 31.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 24.19%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.24)
0-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 44.13%