Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 1 Jagiellonia

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Anderlecht has a probability of 35.98% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Anderlecht win is 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.02% ▼ (-1.55)
Draw 23% ▲ (+0.15)
Anderlecht 35.98% ▲ (+1.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.04% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.51% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 18.49% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 60.01% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 39.99% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 37.5% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 62.46% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 23.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.93% ▲ (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.68% ▼ (-2.08)
Draw 38.29% ▲ (+1.40)
Anderlecht 29.03% ▲ (+0.70)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.97% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 4.64% ▲ (+0.18)
Anderlecht 47.39% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 48.34% ▼ (-0.51)
Equal 8 11.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 40.33% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 9 37.6% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 9 10.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 51.66% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 10.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 10.5 71.79% ▲ (+0.42)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 45.12% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 1.5 54.88% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 2.5 21.34% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 2.5 78.66% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 3.5 8.55% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 91.45% ▲ (+0.44)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 0.5 28.94% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 1.5 40.52% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 1.5 59.48% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 2.5 17.95% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 2.5 82.05% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 3.5 6.41% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 93.59% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.02%
Draw 23.01%
Anderlecht 35.99%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.47)
Total : 41.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 23.01%
Anderlecht
1-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.18)
0-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 35.99%