Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 1 Jagiellonia

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Ararat-Armenia 1 - 4 Sparta Prague

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Ararat-Armenia has a probability of 31.68% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win is 1-2 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.69%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 23% ▲ (+0.04)
Ararat-Armenia 31.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 56.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 21.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.47% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 38.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Ararat-Armenia 29.71% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.89% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 6.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Ararat-Armenia 47.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.55% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 34.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 43.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 45.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 33.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.98% ▲ (+0.08)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 46.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 22.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 63.98%
Under 0.5 36.02%
Over 1.5 34.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.3%
Draw 23%
Ararat-Armenia 31.69%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69%
0-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23%
Ararat-Armenia
1-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.69%