Champions League
Aug 11, 2026 7.15pm
Stadion Z'dežele

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 1 Celje

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 1 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celje win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Ararat-Armenia has a probability of 31.69% and a draw has a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win is 0-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).

Result

Celje 44.26% (-0.36)
Draw 24.06% (+0.08)
Ararat-Armenia 31.69% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.03% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 22.97% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 53.88% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 46.12% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.67% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 68.33% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 18.82% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.18% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Celje 30.56%
Draw 38.32%
Ararat-Armenia 31.12%

Team To Score First

Celje 46.05% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.3% (-0.05)
Ararat-Armenia 47.65% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.09%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 34.58%
Over 9 42.86%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 45.92%
Over 10.5 32.61%
Under 10.5 67.39%

Celje Goals

Over 1.5 44.15% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 55.85% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 19.76% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 80.24% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 7.26% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.74% (+0.08)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 34.32% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 34.01% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 65.99% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 14.32% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 85.68% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 5.02% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.98% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Celje 44.26%
Draw 24.06%
Ararat-Armenia 31.7%
Celje
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.09% (-0.09)
Total : 44.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.06%
Ararat-Armenia
0-1 @ 7.27% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.85% (+0.05)
Total : 31.7%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 4, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
  • Artur Serobyan 38' goal
  • Manuel Tulipa 42' yellowcard
  • Carlos França 70' goal
  • goal Svit Seslar 22'
  • yellowcard Mario Kvesic 58'
  • yellowcard Papa Daniel 90'+5'
Europa League
Sep 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Sergiy Vakulenko 58' yellowcard
  • Yoan Gouffran 76' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Vakulenko 111' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Bozic 5'
  • yellowcard Matic Vrbanec 20'
  • yellowcard Luka Kerin 24'
  • yellowcard Filip Dangubic 79'
  • yellowcard Dusan Stojinovic 95'