Champions League
Aug 11, 2026 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Z'dežele
  • Leonardo Koutris 32' yellowcard
  • Artemijus Tutyškinas 64' yellowcard
  • Milot Avdyli 66' yellowcard
  • Mark Zabukovnik 79' yellowcard
  • Yaya Dukuly 83' goal
  • Benjamin Verbic 85' goal
  • Benjamin Verbic 86' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Oliveira 19'
  • yellowcard Alwyn Tera 19'

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 1 Celje

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 1 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Celje 43.01% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 24.42% ▲ (+0.13)
Ararat-Armenia 32.58% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.18% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 23.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 29.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 70.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.43% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 82.57% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Celje 31.1% ▲ (+0.48)
Draw 38.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Ararat-Armenia 30.81% ▼ (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Celje 46.52% ▲ (+0.20)
No Goal 6.64% ▲ (+0.06)
Ararat-Armenia 46.84% ▼ (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 52.38% ▲ (+0.50)
Equal 8 11.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 36.04% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 9 41.05% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 9 11.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 47.62% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 10.5 30.86% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 10.5 69.14% ▼ (-0.30)

Celje Goals

Over 1.5 42.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 57.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 18.37% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 81.63% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 6.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.54% ▲ (+0.10)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 66.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.19% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 85.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.93% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.07% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Celje 43.01%
Draw 24.42%
Ararat-Armenia 32.58%
Celje
1-0 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 43.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.42%
Ararat-Armenia
0-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 32.58%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 4, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
  • Artur Serobyan 38' goal
  • Manuel Tulipa 42' yellowcard
  • Carlos França 70' goal
  • goal Svit Seslar 22'
  • yellowcard Mario Kvesic 58'
  • yellowcard Papa Daniel 90'+5'
Europa League
Sep 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Sergiy Vakulenko 58' yellowcard
  • Yoan Gouffran 76' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Vakulenko 111' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Bozic 5'
  • yellowcard Matic Vrbanec 20'
  • yellowcard Luka Kerin 24'
  • yellowcard Filip Dangubic 79'
  • yellowcard Dusan Stojinovic 95'