Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.97% and a win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%) , while for a Torpedo Kutaisi win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.