Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.44% and a win for Botev Vratsa had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Botev Vratsa win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.