Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Kutaisi win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.33% and a win for Samgurali had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Kutaisi win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%) , while for a Samgurali win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.