Champions League
Jul 14, 2026 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
  • Iago Siqueira 14' goal
  • Ahmed Ankrah 23' goal
  • Salah Oulad 41' yellowcard
  • Orlando Galo 44' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Ankrah 66' yellowcard
  • Andrés Salazar 66' yellowcard
  • Reginaldo Ramires 72' yellowcard
  • Reginaldo Ramires 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Edgar Grigoryan 34'
  • goal Zhirayr Shaghoyan 46'
  • goal Sandro Lima 63'
  • yellowcard Zidane Banjaqui 66'
  • yellowcard Hugo Oliveira 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos França 85'
  • yellowcard 85'

Riga FC vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 0 Riga FC

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 0 Riga FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.67% and a win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Ararat-Armenia win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Riga FC 52.95% (-0.04)
Draw 24.67% (-0.01)
Ararat-Armenia 22.38% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.88% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.09% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.91% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.84% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.29% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.71% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Riga FC 37.46% (+0.03)
Draw 39.6% (-0.04)
Ararat-Armenia 22.94%

Team To Score First

Riga FC 57.01% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.68% (-0.02)
Ararat-Armenia 36.31%

Corners

Over 8 56.72%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 32.32%
Over 9 45.63%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 43.28%
Over 10.5 35.28%
Under 10.5 64.72%

Riga FC Goals

Over 1.5 49.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.08% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.87%
Under 3.5 90.13%

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 57.8% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 42.2% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 25.08% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 74.92% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.44% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.56% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Riga FC 52.96%
Draw 24.68%
Ararat-Armenia 22.38%
Riga FC
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 9.61%
Total : 52.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.68%
Ararat-Armenia
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.1% (+0.02)
Total : 22.38%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Hugo Oliveira 63' goal
  • Carlos França 86' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Badamosi 54'
  • yellowcard Salah Oulad 68'
  • redcard Frenks Orols 72'