Champions League
Jul 14, 2026 6.00pm
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs

Riga FC vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 0 Riga FC

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 0 Riga FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Riga FC win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.67% and a win for Ararat-Armenia has a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a Ararat-Armenia win it is 0-1 (6.32%).

Result

Riga FC 53.05% (-0.06)
Draw 24.67%
Ararat-Armenia 22.28% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.08% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 51.64%
Under 2.5 48.36%
Over 3.5 28.96%
Under 3.5 71.01% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.17% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.83% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Riga FC 37.46% (+0.03)
Draw 39.61% (-0.04)
Ararat-Armenia 22.93% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Riga FC 56.95% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.73%
Ararat-Armenia 36.32% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.71% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 32.32% (-0.04)
Over 9 45.63% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.09% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.29% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.28% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.72% (-0.04)

Riga FC Goals

Over 1.5 49.85% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.15% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.26% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 75.74% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 9.83%
Under 3.5 90.17%

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 57.58% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 42.42% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.35% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.65% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.33% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Riga FC 53.06%
Draw 24.66%
Ararat-Armenia 22.28%
Riga FC
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 9.58%
Total : 53.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.66%
Ararat-Armenia
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Hugo Oliveira 63' goal
  • Carlos França 86' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Badamosi 54'
  • yellowcard Salah Oulad 68'
  • redcard Frenks Orols 72'