Champions League
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Hugo Oliveira 63' goal
  • Carlos França 86' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Badamosi 54'
  • yellowcard Salah Oulad 68'
  • redcard Frenks Orols 72'

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions

Riga FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 2-1 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Ararat-Armenia 31.1% (+0.11)
Draw 23.12%
Riga FC 45.75% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.58% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.16% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.84% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.28% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.72% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.61% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.39% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.46% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.54% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ararat-Armenia 21.53%
Draw 38.71%
Riga FC 39.76%

Team To Score First

Ararat-Armenia 37.29%
No Goal 5.91%
Riga FC 56.8%

Corners

Over 8 53.64%
Equal 8 10.76%
Under 8 35.6%
Over 9 42.99%
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 46.36%
Over 10.5 33.23%
Under 10.5 66.77%

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 1.5 34.05% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.95% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.99% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.01% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.64% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.36% (-0.04)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5 76.05% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 23.95% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 46.07% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 53.93% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 22.61% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 77.39% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 8.87% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.13% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Ararat-Armenia 31.1%
Draw 23.12%
Riga FC 45.75%
Ararat-Armenia
2-1 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.04)
Total : 31.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.12%
Riga FC
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.68% (-0.06)
Total : 45.75%