Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 11
Jul 5, 2026 1.00pm
Guldfågeln Arena

Kalmar vs Orgryte - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
May 30, 2026 2.00pm
GAIS 3 - 0 Kalmar
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
C. Rosenquist

Orgryte

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
May 29, 2026 6.00pm
Orgryte 2 - 2 Elfsborg
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Anton Andreasson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kalmar win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw has a probability of 20.26% and a win for Orgryte has a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Orgryte win it is 1-2 (4.68%).

Result

Kalmar 63.23% (+0.08)
Draw 20.26%
Orgryte 16.51% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.39% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.36% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.64% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 60.01% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 39.99% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 36.76% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 63.24% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 23.83% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 76.17% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Kalmar 52.82%
Draw 32.26%
Orgryte 14.92%

Team To Score First

Kalmar 70.43%
No Goal 4.6% (+0.02)
Orgryte 24.97% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 78.29% (+0.04)
Equal 8 8.22% (-0.01)
Under 8 13.49% (-0.02)
Over 9 68.18% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.1%
Under 9 21.71% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 56.94% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 43.06% (-0.02)

Kalmar Goals

Over 1.5 61.25% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 38.75% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 34.56% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 65.44% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 16.29% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.71% (+0.04)

Orgryte Goals

Over 0.5 52.38% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 47.62% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 21.81% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 78.19% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 6.96% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 93.04% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.85% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.15% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Kalmar 63.24%
Draw 20.25%
Orgryte 16.51%
Kalmar
2-1 @ 10.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.91% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.81% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.28% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.58%
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 16.02% (-0.04)
Total : 63.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 20.25%
Orgryte
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-1 @ 4.23% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.58% (-0.04)
Total : 16.51%