Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 11
Jul 5, 2026 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Guldfågeln Arena
  • C. Gustafsson 3' goal
  • A. Magashy 47' goal
  • R. Jansson 84' goal
  • yellowcard S. Lagerlund 11'

Kalmar vs Orgryte - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
May 30, 2026 2.00pm
GAIS 3 - 0 Kalmar
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
C. Rosenquist

Orgryte

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
May 29, 2026 6.00pm
Orgryte 2 - 2 Elfsborg
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Anton Andreasson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Orgryte had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%) , while for a Orgryte win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Kalmar 63.43% (+0.12)
Draw 20.2% (-0.04)
Orgryte 16.37% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 60.28% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.72%
Over 3.5 37.03% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.97%
Over 4.5 24.09% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 75.91% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Kalmar 53% (+0.22)
Draw 32.18% (-0.12)
Orgryte 14.82% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Kalmar 70.46% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.55% (-0.03)
Orgryte 24.99% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 78.19% (-0.04)
Equal 8 8.26% (+0.02)
Under 8 13.55%
Over 9 68.05% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.14% (+0.04)
Under 9 21.81% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 56.77% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 43.23% (+0.10)

Kalmar Goals

Over 1.5 61.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 38.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 34.87% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 65.13% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 16.52% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 83.48% (-0.09)

Orgryte Goals

Over 0.5 52.23% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 47.77% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 21.78% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 78.22% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 6.98% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.02% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Kalmar 63.45%
Draw 20.19%
Orgryte 16.36%
Kalmar
2-1 @ 10.38%
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.58%
3-2 @ 3.27%
Other @ 16.24% (+0.10)
Total : 63.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 20.19%
Orgryte
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Total : 16.36%