Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.23% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.