Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brommapojkarna win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brommapojkarna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.