Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.