Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Karlskrona had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Karlskrona win was 1-2 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.