Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.58%) and 1-3 (6.44%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.