Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.