Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.