Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.