Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.