Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.12% and a win for Sandviken had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Sandviken win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.