Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (5.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.