Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Halmstads BK win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.