Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.