Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest GAIS win was 0-1 (9.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.