Swedish Allsvenskan
Apr 12, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Malmö Stadion
  • Pontus Jansson 21' goal
  • Oscar Sjöstrand 37' goal
  • Otto Rosengren 42' goal
  • Adrian Skogmar 68' yellowcard
  • Johan Karlsson 68' yellowcard
  • Kenan Busuladzic 74' yellowcard
  • Arnór Sigurdsson 74' yellowcard
  • Andrej Djuric 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard August Wängberg 58'
  • yellowcard Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson 58'
  • yellowcard Robin Wendin Thomasson 59'
  • yellowcard S. Ekong 71'
  • yellowcard Blessing Asumang 80'
  • goal S. Ekong 87'

Malmo vs GAIS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.30pm
Orgryte 1 - 1 Malmo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Erik Botheim

GAIS

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.30pm
GAIS 0 - 1 Djurgarden
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
S. Ekong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest GAIS win was 0-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Malmo 45.33% (+0.15)
Draw 25.09% (-0.04)
GAIS 29.62% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.03% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 53.82% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.18% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.54% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.95% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.05% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Malmo 32.61%
Draw 40.6%
GAIS 26.79%

Team To Score First

Malmo 51.78%
No Goal 6.22%
GAIS 42%

Corners

Over 8 58.49% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 29.98% (-0.04)
Over 9 46.68% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.51% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.58% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 64.42% (-0.02)

Malmo Goals

Over 1.5 45.38% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.62% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.62% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.38% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.48% (-0.04)

GAIS Goals

Over 0.5 66.02% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 33.98% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 32.66% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.34% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.14% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.77% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.23% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Malmo 45.32%
Draw 25.09%
GAIS 29.62%
Malmo
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.79% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.37% (+0.05)
Total : 45.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
GAIS
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62% (-0.01)
Total : 29.62%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swedish Allsvenskan
Jul 5, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 24
Sep 18, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gamla Ullevi
  • 9' goal
  • Axel Henriksson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otto Rosengren 58'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 9
May 16, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Sergio Pena 64' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 84' goal
  • Jens Stryger Larsen 90'+1' yellowcard