Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Orgryte had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Orgryte win was 2-1 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.