Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2026 3.30pm
Strawberry Arena

Orgryte vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orgryte

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Nov 22, 2025 2.00pm
Orgryte 3 - 0 Norrkoping

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
Malmo 2 - 1 GAIS

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malmo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Orgryte has a probability of 34.87% and a draw has a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Orgryte win is 2-1 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Orgryte 34.87% (-0.11)
Draw 24.78%
Malmo 40.32% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.41% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.59% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 58.78% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 41.18% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 36.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.94% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.27% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.73% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Orgryte 34.86%
Draw 38.16%
Malmo 26.98%

Team To Score First

Orgryte 50.72% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.15% (+0.03)
Malmo 44.13% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.89% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 30.88% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.45% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 42.11% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 35.72% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64.28% (+0.02)

Orgryte Goals

Over 1.5 39.81% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.19% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.88% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.12% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.04% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.96% (+0.04)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 74.86% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.14% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.32% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.68% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.38% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.62% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.68% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.32% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Orgryte 34.87%
Draw 24.79%
Malmo 40.31%
Orgryte
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.69% (-0.05)
Total : 34.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 5.15% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.79%
Malmo
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.33% (+0.01)
Total : 40.31%