Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.35%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.