Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.99% and a win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.19%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%) , while for a Vasteras SK win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.