Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.89%) and 0-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.