Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.