Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-2 (6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.