Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (6.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.