Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Oster had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Oster win was 1-2 (5.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.